SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1815 FOR ND
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #639...
VALID 262304Z - 270200Z
MULTICELLULAR TSTM COMPLEX CONTINUES HEADING SLOWLY NWD THRU NCNTRL
ND WITH SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIDST OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY IN WRN ND. WW WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN EFFECT THRU EXPIRATION
TIME OF 27/02Z.
WV/VIS IMAGERY DEPICTS MID-LVL CYCLONE CENTER IN SRN SASKATCHEWAN
WITH SUBTLE STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NCNTRL MN WWD INTO
ECNTRL ND. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS A RESULT OF
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-UPPER 80S WITH DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID
50S-MID 60S...YIELDING 100MB CAPES FROM 1500-2000 J/KG. WEAK
SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING EWD AMIDST CYCLONIC REGIME WILL COMBINE
WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE....SOME ADDITIONAL SFC HEATING
...AND OUTFLOW INTERACTION TO CONTINUE TO YIELD SCATTERED SEVERE
TSTMS INTO THE EARLY-MID EVENING HOURS.
..NADEN.. 08/26/02
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