SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1928 FOR ECNTRL CO...NWRN KS...SWRN/SCNTRL
NEB
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...
VALID 130247Z - 130600Z
HEAVY RAINFALL THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ACROSS RED WILLOW COUNTY
NEB IS BEGINNING TO BACKBUILD RAPIDLY INTO NWRN KS...AND WILL
PROBABLY LINK UP WITH TSTMS IN ECNTRL CO SHORTLY. PRIND THAT THE
65 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR FROM 35N LHX-GLD-30 SW EAR WILL SEE THE MOST
INTENSE AND PERSISTENT RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR
THROUGH AT LEAST 06 UTC.
HVL PROFILER SHOWS THAT THE SLY LLJ AROUND 500 M AGL HAS INCREASED
TO AROUND 40 KTS. VECTOR METHOD NOW SUGGESTS THAT BACKBUILDING HAS
BECOME MORE RAPID...WITH UPDRAFTS FORMING SWWD TOWARD THE GLD AREA.
IR IMAGERY SHOWS TCU FORMING SWWD TOWARD CURRENT TSTMS OVER ECNTRL
CO...AND PRIND THAT TSTMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
BETWEEN 03-04 UTC. UNTIL THE MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MIGRATES
THROUGH THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A 2-4 HOUR PERIOD OF PERSISTENT
TRAINING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ECNTRL CO-NWRN KS INTO SCNTRL NEB.
..RACY.. 09/13/02
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