SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1933 FOR SRN AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 681...
VALID 141217Z - 141400Z
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADOES CONTINUES THIS MORNING
ACROSS SRN AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LANDFALLING TROPICAL STORM HANNA.
NHC 14/12Z ADVISORY POSITION PLACES THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
HANNA NEAR 30.1N 88.9W OR JUST SOUTH OF THE MS COAST. PRIMARY
THREAT OF TORNADOES IS WITH INNERMOST BAND JUST EAST OF THE CYCLONE
CENTER...EXTENDING FROM THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO NNWWD INTO THE FAR
WRN FL PANHANDLE AND MOBILE BAY VICINITY. VAD WIND PROFILE AT MOB
INDICATES 30-40KT ESELY FLOW IN THE SFC-1KM LAYER WITH A CLUSTERING
OF 50-60 LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE COASTAL WATERS JUST SOUTH OF
AL/FL BORDER BETWEEN 11-12Z. SFC-2KM SRH VALUES ARE NEAR 100 M2/S2.
SRH VALUES ARE LIMITED SOMEWHAT BY MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW-LEVEL
WIND PROFILE AT MOBILE PRESENTLY. DESPITE THIS...MAGNITUDE OF LOW-
LEVEL SHEAR AND MOVEMENT OF CONVECTIVE CELLS WITHIN THE SPIRAL BAND
ONSHORE DURING THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS SUGGESTS THE THREAT OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES ACROSS THE WW 681 AREA. GREATEST THREAT APPEARS LIKELY
FROM MOBILE BAY EWD ACROSS FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE MID-
MORNING HOURS.
..BANACOS.. 09/14/02
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