MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2059
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0158 PM CDT FRI OCT 11 2002
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC AND SE VA
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 721...
   
   VALID 111858Z - 112100Z
   
   WHILE CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE APPEARS
   TO HAVE SHIFTED OFFSHORE...SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH...WEAK
   SURFACE LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG INLAND BAROCLINIC
   ZONE...SOUTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE NC.  MID-LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING
   INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS HAS SUPPORTED DEVELOPMENT OF
   SURFACE WAVE...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE ALONG FRONTAL ZONE
   THROUGH THE ROCKY MOUNT NC AREA INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.
   IN RESPONSE TO STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS AHEAD OF THIS
   FEATURE...SURFACE FLOW REMAINS BACKED...AND WILL CONTINUE TO
   PROVIDE A SMALL RISK OF ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TORNADOES THIS
   AFTERNOON IN TROPICAL AIR MASS ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN NORTH
   CAROLINA.
   
   ..KERR.. 10/11/2002
   
   
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