MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2152
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0926 PM CST TUE NOV 05 2002
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...SRN AND ERN GA...AND SRN SC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
   
   VALID 060326Z - 060615Z
   
   ADD SOUTH CAROLINA TO UGC
   
   A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR PORTIONS OF  NRN
   FL....SRN AND ERN GA...AND SRN SECTIONS OF SC.
   
   TORNADO POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   SOUTHEAST U.S. AS VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH MOVES EWD FROM THE MS
   VALLEY. WELL-DEFINED WARM SECTOR HAS PUSHED INLAND/NWD ACROSS ALL
   OF NRN FL AND SERN GA LATE TONIGHT AIDED BY STRENGTHENING LOW
   LEVEL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF MS VALLEY TROUGH. ALREADY VERY STRONG
   LOW THROUGH MIDLEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE FCST TO INCREASE FURTHER
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS REGION COMES UNDER STRONG DIFFERENTIAL
   DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF POWERFUL
   150 KT UPPER LEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. LOW CAPE OF
   500-1000 J/KG ...HIGH SRH NEARING 500 M2/S2...AND LOW LFC WILL
   SUPPORT ISOLD TORNADOES AS LINE OF LOW-TOPPED TSTMS NOW OVER SRN
   GA/NRN FL MOVE EWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS WARM SECTOR
   DEVELOPS NWD INTO SC THREAT SHOULD ALSO INCREASE ACROSS THIS
   AREA.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 11/06/2002
   
   
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