MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0093
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0631 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2003
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...INTERIOR NERN NC/SERN VA/SRN MD
   
   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 170031Z - 170630Z
   
   FREEZING RAIN WITH GLAZING RATES OF UP TO ONE-TENTH /0.1/ INCH
   PER HOUR WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN NC NEWD
   ACROSS SERN VA AND INTO THE SRN-CNTRL CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION OVER
   THE NEXT 6 HOURS.
   
   WET-BULB/SURFACE FREEZING LINE WAS CURRENTLY ALONG A WAL-AKQ-RWI
   LINE AND HAS SHOWN LITTLE INLAND/WWD PROGRESS OVER THE PAST FEW
   HOURS. LATEST ETA WAS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED
   BOUNDARY LAYER 0C ISOTHERM AND FCSTS INDICATE ONLY SLIGHT INLAND
   PENETRATION OF WARMER MARITIME AIRMASS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   DELMARVA REGION NEXT FEW HOURS. MEANWHILE...MIDLEVEL JET STREAK
   WAS NOTED ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
   THE NORTH-CNTRL GULF COAST REGION AND IT APPEARS THAT LOW LEVEL
   ELY FLOW WAS INTENSIFYING ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN IN
   RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS ALOFT. 1KM VWP WINDS AT AKQ
   AND DOX HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED TO 50KT AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
   RESULT IN INCREDIBLY INTENSE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND ATLANTIC
   MOISTURE INFLUX INTO AND ABOVE ENTRENCHED ARCTIC COLD DOME
   SITUATED FROM NY/NEW ENGLAND SSWWD TO CNTRL CAROLINAS. THUS
   EXPECT MORE FREEZING RAIN IN A SSW-NNE BAND INLAND FROM THE MID
   ATLANTIC COAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   
   ..CARBIN.. 02/17/2003
   
   
   38497703 38927606 38257571 37687637 35897819 35667884
   35797904 36207923 36867893 37357848 38067760