MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0351
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 PM CST FRI MAR 28 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 82...
VALID 290109Z - 290215Z
THE THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONGEST TSTMS
OVER SERN MI FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO.
DETROIT RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE SHORT BOWING
CONVECTIVE SEGMENTS EXTENDING FROM MACOMB COUNTY SWD INTO WAYNE
COUNTY. THESE TSTMS ARE MOVING THROUGH A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WITH SBCAPES OF AROUND 500 J/KG. LATEST VWP DATA FROM
DETROIT SHOW A VEERING TREND TO THE WINDS BELOW 2 KM...SUGGESTING
THAT LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT E AND NE OF
WW082. NONETHELESS...THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO AS STRONG MID AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND
MAXIMUM CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT.
WW082 MAY BE CANCELLED BY 02Z SINCE STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY HAVE MOVED NEWD INTO ONTARIO/NRN LAKE ERIE.
..MEAD.. 03/29/2003
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...
43738394 44038342 44108275 43798244 43298238 42638245
41868272 41678327 41798417 41828468 41908486 43318439
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