MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0373
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0133 PM CST FRI APR 04 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...NE IA/SWRN AND SCNTRL WI
CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN
VALID 041933Z - 050130Z
...FREEZING RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS NE IA AND SRN WI THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
MOVING ACROSS NORTHEAST IA...INTO EXTREME SW WI. AS AN UPPER WAVE
MOVES TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE SW...LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA. THE SFC
FREEZING LINE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM WATERLOO IA TO JUST
NORTHEAST OF MADISON WI. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS
ACROSS SRN WI WILL BE FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
IN EXTREME SRN WI AND EAST TOWARD MKE SHOULD REMAIN IN THE MID
30S...SO THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN.
POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM THE RUC AND ETA BOTH INDICATE A
WARM MELTING LAYER BETWEEN 850-700MB AND STRONG WAA THIS
AFTERNOON. MID LAYER COOLING WILL EVENTUALLY CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL SNOW LATER TONIGHT. ETA QPF FORECASTS
SUGGESTS BETWEEN 0.1-0.2" OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH 05/0000Z...AND
MUCH OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS FREEZING RAIN
IN THE DISCUSSION AREA.
..TAYLOR.. 04/04/2003
ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DVN...ARX...
43049185 43699082 44178889 43868778 43138830 42569092
42679184
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