MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0919 AM CDT SUN APR 06 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL TN/FAR SWRN KY/FAR NRN AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 061419Z - 061615Z
BROKEN LINE OF ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE
ACROSS WESTERN MIDDLE TN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED BUT WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.
LOW-LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION ACROSS ERN AR/WRN AR WILL SPREAD EWD
OVER CNTRL TN LATE THIS MORNING. VORTICITY MAX EVIDENT IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY/MODEL DATA NEAR MEMPHIS WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR ELEVATED STORMS ACROSS MIDDLE TN
THROUGH 18Z. COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES...MARGINAL INSTABILITY
AND 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 60 TO 70 KNOTS WILL RESULT IN A POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY...WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
..BROYLES.. 04/06/2003
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...
34978754 35588791 35958858 36188912 36818913 37258858
37188758 36598668 35758626 35088627 34688645 34738723
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