MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0927
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 345...
VALID 110059Z - 110230Z
TORNADO WATCH 345 CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ERN NC. THREAT
MAY BE EVOLVING TOWARD HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH RATES LOCALLY IN EXCESS
OF 2"/HR.
AT 0045Z...A SERIES OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MERGED IN AN
E-W ORIENTED LINE FROM WRN NASH COUNTY EWD INTO MARTIN COUNTY. THE
ABSENCE OF A STRONG COLD POOL IN THE WAKE OF THIS CONVECTION IN
CONJUNCTION WITH LOW 70 DEWPOINTS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND
1.75IN...A SURFACE BOUNDARY IN THE AREA...AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
LARGELY PARALLEL TO THE LINE SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT MAY BE
DECEASING IN FAVOR OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH TRAINING OF RADAR
ECHOES. THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL IS EVOLVING FROM 10 N
RWI ESEWD ACROSS EDGECOMBE...MARTIN...AND NRN PITT COUNTIES IN ERN
NC. THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN MAY EXTEND ESEWD TO THE COAST THROUGH
11/05Z AS CLUSTER OF STORMS TRACK TOWARD PAMLICO SOUND OR
295/20-25KT.
..BANACOS.. 05/11/2003
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...
35477756 35597898 36347768 36577672 36187542 35597557
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