MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0430 PM CDT MON JUN 09 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NE...NRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 092130Z - 092230Z
A WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ALONG DRYLINE FROM WRN
NEBRASKA INTO NWRN KS. VERY STRONG INSTABILITY EXISTS E OF THE
DRYLINE WITH MLCAPES OF 3000-3500 J/KG. BELT OF MODERATE MID LEVEL
FLOW ALOFT ATOP STRONG 25-35 KT SLY LLJ WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG
INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SUPERCELLS PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL. DEGREE
OF INSTABILITY...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND SURFACE T/TD
SPREADS LESS THAN 20 F SUGGEST A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL. LOWERING LCLS ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SHEAR
PROFILES MAY ENHANCE TORNADO THREAT LATER IN THE PERIOD.
..JEWELL.. 06/09/2003
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
38810156 39950157 40550120 40369808 38969824
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