MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1750
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA / NRN MO / CENTRAL IL / CENTRAL AND SRN IN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 700...704...
VALID 100104Z - 100200Z
CORRECTED TO ADD WW 705 TO FIRST SENTENCE...
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCHES 700...704...AND 705 WILL LIKELY BE
REPLACED WITH A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PRIOR TO THEIR 10/02Z
EXPIRATION.
EVENING RAOB DATA INDICATES UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH GENERALLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW FROM ERN IA SEWD INTO SWRN OH -- ROUGHLY ALONG
SURFACE BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS SEWD ACROSS THIS AREA. WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THIS REGION...AND AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW
INCREASES ACROSS...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO PERSIST. AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY AND MODERATE / NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW SUGGESTS
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL...
WITH THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT LIKELY ACROSS IL WHERE DEEP-LAYER
WIND FIELD SHOULD STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF APPROACHING TROUGH.
..GOSS.. 07/10/2003
ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
41749130 41068847 40128680 39238551 38898573 38628712
38798992 39649207 40349335
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