MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0445 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA...NERN MO...CENTRAL IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 262145Z - 262315Z
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
MID MS VALLEY INTO CENTRAL IL IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...
PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE ADVECTED DOWNSTREAM WITHIN CONFLUENT
FLOW ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY REGION TOWARD CENTRAL IL. BOUNDARY
LAYER UPSTREAM ACROSS NRN MO HAS DEEPENED SIGNIFICANTLY WITH
CONSIDERABLE BOUNDARY LAYER CU AND DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS TO NEAR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING ALONG SRN
FRINGES OF STRONGER FLOW ALOFT...BUT WITHIN FAIRLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
IT APPEARS BOTH ADVECTION/NEW DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR EWD INTO
CENTRAL IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE SEVERE THREATS.
..DARROW.. 08/26/2003
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...
41039219 41258990 41028878 40468846 39908891 39839030
39979231
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