MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2493
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0537 PM CST WED NOV 12 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN PA/SWRN NY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 122337Z - 130030Z
NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED BY 00Z FOR WRN PA AND PORTIONS OF SWRN NY.
FAST MOVING /40-45 KT/ BROKEN LINE OF LOW-TOPPED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS...EXTENDING FROM 30 W CLE TO 25 NW CMH WITH ISOLATED STORMS
OVER CENTRAL OH FROM FAIRFIELD COUNTY TO MUSKINGUM COUNTY...WILL
LIKELY MOVE INTO WRN PA BETWEEN 01-02Z. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
MARGINAL INTO THE EVENING WITH SOME DECREASE EXPECTED...GIVEN THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HOWEVER...VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO
NWRN PA BY 01Z AND INTO WEST CENTRAL/SWRN PA BETWEEN 01-02Z WITH
PRIMARILY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
..PETERS.. 11/12/2003
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...
41958044 42597994 42797855 41677844 39787880 39798044
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