MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0010
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1001 PM CST SUN JAN 04 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN  LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 050401Z - 050430Z
   
   ISOLATED STRONG STORM HAD DEVELOPED IN SRN LA ABOUT 35 MI NW OF LFT
   ...BUT MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE BRIEF NON-SEVERE GUSTY WINDS.
   
   ISOLATED STORM LOCATED 35 NW OF LFT IS MOVING NEWD AT 35 KT. EVE LCH
   SOUNDING EXHIBITED WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPES AROUND 500 J/KG...
   DESPITE THE UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS. LATEST VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW WINDS
   HAVE BACKED AT 2-3 KM...POSSIBLY INDICATIVE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   PROGRESSING THROUGH THE FLOW. ALTHOUGH BRIEFLY STRONG WINDS ARE
   POSSIBLE WITH THIS CELL...THE BACKED MID LEVEL FLOW...WEAK LAPSE
   RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY SUGGEST WINDS SHOULD BE NON-SEVERE.
   
   ..IMY.. 01/05/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...
   
   30919161 30739157 30529196 30409240 30519264 30879203