MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0041
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0700 AM CST MON JAN 26 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL/SWRN GA AND THE FL PNHDL
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 2...
   
   VALID 261300Z - 261500Z
   
   THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED TO
   CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS EWD ACROSS WW AREA.
   
   AS OF 1240Z...REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWED A LINE OF STRONG TO
   SEVERE TSTMS FROM AROUND CSG SWWD TO NEAR PNS. WHILE OVERALL LINE
   MOVEMENT IS SLOWLY TO THE E...INDIVIDUAL STORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
   LINE /SOME OF WHICH HAVE EXHIBITED MID-LEVEL ROTATION/ WERE MOVING
   NE AT AROUND 50KTS. SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF ONGOING CONVECTION
   CONTINUES TO ADVECT HIGHER THETAE AIRMASS NWD OFF THE GULF WITH 12Z
   TLH SOUNDING INDICATING MLCAPES OF 500-600 J/KG. DYNAMIC FORCING
   AHEAD OF APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH COUPLED WITH ADDITIONAL
   MOISTENING/LIMITED DIABATIC HEATING OF BOUNDARY-LAYER SHOULD
   CONTRIBUTE FURTHER TO THE DESTABILIZATION PROCESS EWD ACROSS THE WW
   AREA THROUGH 15 OR 16Z. 
   
   IN ADDITION...LOCAL VWP TRENDS FROM FORT RUCKER/EGLIN AFB INDICATE
   BACKING OF NEAR SURFACE WIND FIELDS /PRIMARILY BELOW 1KM/ WHICH IS
   RESULTING IN 0-1KM SRH VALUES OF 100-200 M2/S2. GIVEN THE INCREASING
   INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS
   EMBEDDED WITHIN AND/OR DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE APPEARS TO BE
   INCREASING. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN THE
   PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
   LIKELY WITHIN TRAILING PORTION OF CONVECTIVE LINE OWING TO TRAINING
   CELLS/SLOW LINE MOVEMENT.
   
   ..MEAD.. 01/26/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...
   
   31808681 32058633 32028336 31818325 30068503 29938549
   29938810 30098854