MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0042
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0738 AM CST MON JAN 26 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN NC
   
   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 261338Z - 261945Z
   
   MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
   SLEET IN NERN NC WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA IN THE NEXT 2-3
   HOURS. HOURLY ACCUMULATION RATES ABOVE 0.10 IN. WILL BE LIKELY
   ...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM SCENTRAL
   INTO NERN NC BETWEEN 26/16Z AND 26/20Z. 
   
   CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS PRECIPITATION CONTINUING TO EXPAND AND
   INTENSIFY OVER SRN SC/GA. STRONG WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFE ABOVE
   STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SRN GA ENEWD TO A LOW CENTERED
   OFF CAPE HATTERAS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION
   DEVELOPMENT INTO SRN/ERN NC OVER THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS. ELEVATED
   INSTABILITY NOTED ON THE 12Z FFC AND CHS SOUNDINGS WILL FURTHER
   SUPPORT THE CONVECTIVE/HEAVY ACCUMULATION THREAT TO THE AREA. AS THE
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO APPROACH...SLIGHT MID LEVEL BACKING
   MAY AID IN SHIFTING THE THREAT FOR MODERATE-HVY FREEZING RAIN NWWD
   INTO THE RDU AREA. NNWLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND FIELDS OVER ERN
   NC...DUE TO THE DEEPENING SFC LOW OFFSHORE SHOULD ALLOW FOR A SLOW
   EWD MOVEMENT OF THE SFC FREEZING LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 W OF ECG TO
   10 N OF ILM AT 13Z THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/26/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...
   
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