MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0044
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1110 AM CST MON JAN 26 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 3...
   
   VALID 261710Z - 261815Z
   
   TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE LOCALLY ENHANCED ACROSS BAY...
   WASHINGTON...GULF...AND CALHOUN COUNTIES IN THE FL PANHANDLE.
   
   LATEST SURFACE DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE AXIS OF HIGHEST /70 F/
   SURFACE DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE WRN AND CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE.  BOWING
   STORM STRUCTURE AND MESOLOW HAS MOVED ONSHORE INTO BAY COUNTY WITHIN
   THIS MOISTURE / INSTABILITY AXIS.  ALTHOUGH THE MESOLOW APPEARS TO
   BE WEAKENING WITH THIS STORM...NEW CELLS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE APEX
   OF THE BOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE INTO GULF AND CALHOUN COUNTIES SHORTLY.
    THESE STORMS ARE EXHIBITING SIGNS OF DEVELOPING ROTATION...AND WITH
   LOCALLY-ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO AFOREMENTIONED
   MESOLOW...MESOSCALE AXIS OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LIKELY EXISTS. 
   GIVEN THAT THIS INFLOW AXIS IS CO-LOCATED WITH MOIST / INSTABILITY
   AXIS...A LOCALLY ENHANCED TORNADO / DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS
   SUGGESTING IN THIS AREA.
   
   ..GOSS.. 01/26/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...
   
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