MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0046
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0457 PM CST MON JAN 26 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CENTRAL/NERN GA...UPSTATE SC...AND SWRN NC
   
   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 262257Z - 270330Z
   
   NEXT BATCH OF FREEZING PRECIPITATION TO MOVE FROM SW TO NE ACROSS
   NRN GA/WRN SC/SWRN NC BETWEEN 26/23Z-27/06Z. LIGHT GLAZE LIKELY WITH
   GENERAL 0.05-0.10"/3 HR FREEZING RAIN RATES ACROSS AREA.
   
   AT 2230Z...LARGE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES SLOW EWD MIGRATION ACROSS
   CENTRAL PLAINS WITH BROAD SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE SERN STATES. RUC
   DEPICTS AN EMBEDDED 500MB VORT MAX AND ASSOCIATED JET STREAK NEAR
   SRN MS/SRN AL...WHICH WILL TRACK RAPIDLY NEWD INTO THE SRN
   APPALACHIAN MTNS BY 27/06Z. MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS WIDELY
   SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN AL...MOVING NEWD AT
   40-50KT...THAT APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH ABOVE MENTIONED
   FEATURES.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...STRONG QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH COLD
   AIR DAMMING REGIME EXTENDS FROM THE GA/FL BORDER NWWD INTO E-CENTRAL
   AL. STRONG FLOW ORTHOGONAL TO BOUNDARY IN 850-500MB LAYER SHOULD
   RESULT IN ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS MUCH OF NRN/NERN GA DURING
   23-03Z PERIOD...AS VORT LIFTS NE INTO BAROCLINIC ZONE. PRECIP SHOULD
   THEN CONTINUE NEWD INTO UPSTATE SC AND SWRN NC BETWEEN 02-06Z.
   VALLEY TEMPERATURES IN THE 28-32F RANGE SHOULD SUPPORT
   ICING...PARTICULARLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. LIGHT NELY SURFACE
   WINDS/WEAK CAA SHOULD COUNTERACT EFFECTS OF WARMING WITH WARM
   PRECIPITATION FALLING INTO SHALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER AND DIABATIC
   WARMING ASSOCIATED WITH FREEZING. DYNAMIC FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT
   LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OF 0.05-0.10"/3 HR ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA
   MID-EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 01/26/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...
   
   33748219 33588261 33378325 33318364 33438394 34028394
   34438384 34618328 35418283 35658248 35818162 35898119
   35658081 34298090