MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0051
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0627 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WV/WRN VA/WRN NC/EXTREME NERN TN
   
   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 271227Z - 271630Z
   
   ...FREEZING RAIN WILL INCREASE OVER NEXT 1-3 HOURS WITH HOURLY RATES
    ABOVE 0.05"...
   
   LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW PLUME OF PRECIPITATION IS RAPIDLY
   APPROACHING WRN PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND VA/WV. LATEST SFC
   FREEZING LINE IS ORIENTED SW/NE AND EXTENDS FROM LEWISBURG/BECKLEY
   WV TO TRICITIES TN SWD TO ASHEVILLE. THE SUBFREEZING AIRMASS E OF
   THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS BEING TRAPPED IN THE APPALACHIAN
   MTNS...AND WITH ELY SFC FLOW ONGOING...LITTLE OR NO WARMING WILL BE
   POSSIBLE AT THE SFC FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. ALL AVAILABLE
   PRECIPITATION TYPE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT
   WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING RESULTING IN
   WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN. HOURLY PRECIPITATION RATES FROM .1" TO .2"
   ARE OCCURRING UPSTREAM...SO IT IS POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN RATES WILL
   BE SIMILAR IN THE STRONGEST CORES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/27/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LWX...RAH...RNK...PBZ...RLX...GSP...MRX...
   
   35748234 36398262 36788165 37718121 38008076 39207908
   38687812 36328004 35688135