MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0062
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0749 PM CST SUN FEB 01 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS / FAR SE NEB / WRN IA
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW / FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 020149Z - 020645Z
   
   HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/SPREAD NEWD ACROSS ERN KS INTO
   WRN IA THROUGH 09Z...WITH LOCALIZED SNOW RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 IN/HR.
   IN ADDITION...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST TO THE SE OF
   HEAVY SNOW AXIS ACROSS ERN KS...ROUGHLY COINCIDENT WITH AREAS
   ALONG/EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.
   
   SNOW RATES WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING ALONG STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL
   BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM ERN KS INTO SE NEB/WRN IA AS STRONGEST OVERALL
   FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION OVERSPREADS THE REGION. RUC
   DIAGNOSTICS SUGGEST MODERATE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS /NAMELY IN
   700MB LAYER/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FOCUSED AREA OF SNOWFALL WITH
   POTENTIAL FOR SW-NE ORIENTED MESOSCALE BANDING/CONCENTRATED
   SNOWFALL. PLUME OF FAIRLY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES -- 6.5C OR
   GREATER IN 700-500 MB LAYER PER 00Z OAX/TOP/DDC OBSERVED SOUNDINGS
   -- WILL FOSTER ADDITIONAL ENHANCEMENT. FAVORABLE DENDRITIC CRYSTAL
   GROWTH/SEEDER FEEDER -- EVIDENT IN 00Z TOP OBSERVED SOUNDING -- WILL
   OPTIMIZE SNOW RATES...IN EXCESS OF 1 IN/HR AT TIMES.
   
   IMMEDIATELY SE OF THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOW...POCKETS OF FREEZING
   RAIN WILL PERSIST ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING
   -- INCLUDING THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA...WITH A GRADUAL CHANGE-OVER
   TO SNOW OCCURRING FROM NW TO SE.
   
   ..GUYER.. 02/02/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...
   
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