MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0079
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1137 PM CST WED FEB 04 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...UPPER TX COAST AND SRN LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 050537Z - 050700Z
   
   A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS.
   
   CONVECTION IS INCREASING ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST AND SWRN
   LA...PROBABLY IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF LARGER SCALE FORCING
   MOVING INTO CNTRL TX ATTM.  WARM FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH ONTO THE
   UPPER TX COAST AND INTO SRN LA...ROUGHLY FROM SOUTH OF
   KMSY-KLCH-KIAH.  AS THE FORCING SPREADS NEWD...SRN PERIPHERY IS
   EXPECTED TO GLANCE THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION
   IS EXPECTED.  
   
   VWP FROM KHGX SHOWS VEERING THROUGH THE COLUMN...BUT KLCH AND KPOE
   PROFILES SHOW MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL TURNING.  WHILE A HAIL
   THREAT WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF THE FRONT...AN INCREASING RISK OF
   TORNADOES IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW HOURS ROUGHLY FROM N OF THE HOU
   METRO AREA INTO PARTS OF SRN/CNTRL LA.
   
   ..RACY.. 02/05/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...
   
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