MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0083
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/CNTRL LA...SW MS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5...
   
   VALID 051335Z - 051530Z
   
   SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
   ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS...IN ADDITION TO HAIL. 
   CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW.
   
   MID/UPPER 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE ADVECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL/
   SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AHEAD OF
   PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE LINE.  SHALLOW SURFACE INVERSION EVIDENT IN
   12Z SOUNDINGS WILL BE MODIFIED WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
   MORE RAPID SURFACE HEATING COMMENCES.  SEVERAL INTENSE CELLS ARE
   ALREADY EMBEDDED WITHIN DEVELOPING LINE...AND DESTABILIZATION OF
   BOUNDARY LAYER WILL SUPPORT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.  THIS WILL BE
   ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING RISK FOR TORNADOES...NEAR/WEST THROUGH
   NORTH OF LAFAYETTE LA AFTER 15Z.  
   
   INTENSE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD INTO VICINITY
   OF COLD FRONT NOW ADVANCING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO PARTS
   OF WEST CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. MEANWHILE...REDEVELOPMENT OF
   STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
   LOUISIANA THROUGH MIDDAY...AS STRONGEST UPPER DIFLUENCE BETWEEN
   POLAR/SUBTROPICAL JETS BECOMES FOCUSED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
   AREA BY 18Z.
   
   ..KERR.. 02/05/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...HGX...
   
   29529447 30109381 30469290 30899214 31399153 31889115
   32289063 32399009 31728981 31239011 30519079 29809137
   29549178