MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0087
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1252 PM CST THU FEB 05 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN IA AND FAR NWRN IL
   
   CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 
   
   VALID 051852Z - 060045Z
   
   HEAVY SNOW THREAT CURRENTLY ONGOING OVER THE KC METRO AREA/NWRN MO
   AND SERN NEB WILL END IN THE NEXT 2 HOURS WHILE SHIFTING NEWD INTO
   FAR NCENTRAL/NERN MO...SRN/ERN IA AND EVENTUALLY FAR NWRN IL OVER
   THE NEXT 2-6 HOURS. HOURLY ACCUMULATION RATES AROUND 1 INCH WILL
   REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD...WITH THE GREATEST
   PROBABILITY ALONG AND 20 MILES EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM LAMONI TO
   DVN BETWEEN 05/20Z AND 06/02Z.
   
   LATEST IR/WV IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED VORT MAX OVER ECENTRAL
   KS. STRONG MID/HIGH LEVEL DRYING OBSERVED WILL FURTHER SHARPEN THE
   MID LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT AND SUPPORT CONTINUED STRONG MESOSCALE
   ASCENT AHEAD OF THE VORT MAX AS IT TRACKS NEWD INTO ECENTRAL IA BY
   06/00Z. THEREFORE...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT A CONTINUED NEWD
   ADVANCEMENT OF THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT WILL OCCUR FROM THE KC METRO
   AREA INTO FAR NCENTRAL MO/SCENTRAL IA OVER THE NEXT FEW
   HOURS...EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO ECENTRAL IA/NWRN IL. THE AXIS OF
   STRONGEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL EXIST ALONG A LINE FROM
   LAMONI TO DVN AND SHOULD AID IN A CONCENTRATED AREA OF 1 INCH/HR
   SNOWFALL RATES FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/05/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
   
   39409439 39909549 41729390 42799051 41619016 40419166