MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0088
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0111 PM CST THU FEB 05 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA....SRN MS...WRN AL
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 6...
   
   VALID 051911Z - 052115Z
   
   WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLD TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
   AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MS DELTA REGION...PERHAPS DEVELOPING INTO
   PORTIONS OF WRN AL BY LATER TODAY.
   
   WARM SECTOR CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DESTABILIZE AHEAD OF INTENSE AND
   SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SCNTRL MS TO SERN LA THIS
   AFTERNOON. STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUES TO BE ALONG OR
   JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND NEAR CONSOLIDATING SURFACE LOW INVOF
   JAN. STRONG MOISTURE FLUX FROM ERN LA AND SRN MS INTO THIS ZONE OF 
   ASCENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STORMS
   TRACKING NEWD...WHILE THE ENTIRE CONVECTIVE MASS MAKES ONLY SLOW EWD
   PROGRESS WITHIN DEEP SWLY MEAN FLOW.
   
   WARM SECTOR AIRMASS WAS CHARACTERIZED BY ABUNDANT LOW THROUGH MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE AND MODEST LAPSE RATES AS SHOWN ON 18Z LIX RAOB. WITH
   MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG AND PRONOUNCED 0-1KM SRH ON THE ORDER OF
   300-500 M2/S2...THE STORM ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL
   REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND/OR EMBEDDED BOWS WITH ATTENDANT
   TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 02/05/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
   
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