MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0541
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 142...
VALID 011233Z - 011400Z
EARLIER BOW ECHO THAT MOVED THROUGH AREAS NEAR/WEST OF SAN ANTONIO
HAS BECOME UNDERCUT BY SURGING COLD POOL MIGRATING SWD INTO SCNTRL
TX. ANOTHER SEWD MOVING COLD POOL WAS APPROACHING KLRD WITH TSTMS
TRYING TO INITIATE ALONG IT. 12 UTC KBRO/KCRP SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A
SUBSTANTIAL CAP TO A SURFACE BASED PARCEL AND THIS MAY PARTIALLY
EXPLAIN WHY CONVECTION IS HAVING A TOUGH TIME BECOMING ESTABLISHED
SOUTH OF THE LATITUDE OF KCOT.
AS THE BOUNDARIES CONTINUE TO SAG SWD/SEWD AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER
GRADUALLY WARMS THROUGH THE MORNING...MORE TSTMS COULD DEVELOP
ACROSS THE WW. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.
..RACY.. 05/01/2004
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...
29179998 29969741 27709723 26869998
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