MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0904
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX AND S-CENTRAL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 290...
VALID 260007Z - 260200Z
CONTINUE WW.
AT 2350Z...SEVERAL INTENSE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE IN VICINITY OF
SURFACE STATIONARY FRONT...ACROSS JONES...FISHER...SCURRY...AND
MITCHELL COUNTIES IN NWRN TX. SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW INTO THE BOUNDARY
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONVECTION...WITH 100MB MLCAPE VALUES OF
2000-3000 J/KG. SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS WILL ENHANCE THREAT
OF LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER CORES. IN ADDITION...BACKBUILDING
TENDENCY OF CELLS TOWARD MAF SUGGESTS STRONG LIKELIHOOD OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WITH PRECIPITATION RATES OF 2-3"/HR POSSIBLE OVER ABOVE
MENTIONED COUNTIES.
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE RED RIVER...ELEVATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES TO
30-35 KT.
..BANACOS.. 05/26/2004
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
32219894 32200104 32200153 33210051 34759843 34749612
|