MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1054
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...SE AL/SRN GA/FL PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 021714Z - 021845Z
DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE ACROSS SE AL/SRN GA/FL PANHANDLE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
IN SPITE OF MODEST WIND PROFILES...APPEARS GULF COAST MCV/DEVELOPING
COLD POOL WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE CONVECTION EWD AT 35-40 KTS ACROSS
SE AL/SRN GA/FL PANHANDLE. AIRMASS AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE LINE IS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH 80F TEMPERATURES/70F DEWPOINTS SUPPORTING
MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND MODEST LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. GIVEN
CONTINUAL DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION AND COLD POOL/LINEAR NATURE OF
CONVECTION...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.
..GUYER.. 06/02/2004
ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
30348675 31138668 32458628 32458454 32028299 30358279
29648335 29848580
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