MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1077
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CDT THU JUN 03 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN OR/SE WA/ID
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 032346Z - 040145Z
ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WITH STRONGEST STORMS EARLY THIS
EVENING...WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE /WITH POTENTIAL ISOLD SEVERE/ EARLY THIS
EVENING ALONG/AHEAD OF PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID/UPPER TROUGH. AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE...AMPLE INSOLATION HAS CONTRIBUTED TO BROAD AREA OF
UPPER 70S/80S TEMPERATURES. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS 2000
J/KG SBCAPE IN AXIS FROM ERN CASCADES OF CNTRL OR NEWD INTO CNTRL
ID...WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.0 C/KM OR GREATER. MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30 KTS WILL SUPPORT LARGE
HAIL WITH MOST VIGOROUS TSTMS. WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ALSO
SUGGESTS A DAMAGING WIND THREAT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT ISOLD
NATURE OF ACTIVITY WILL PRECLUDE WW ISSUANCE.
..GUYER.. 06/03/2004
ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...OTX...PDT...REV...MFR...
44292150 45921910 47271552 45231328 43471250 42231419
42041766 41942015 43722174
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