MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0321 PM CDT WED JUN 09 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL NY/WRN VT
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413...
   
   VALID 092021Z - 092115Z
   
   ...WW 413 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED...
   
   COLD FRONT STILL LIES NORTHWEST OF THE AREA...ALONG WITH MORE
   STRONG/SVR STORMS WHICH HAVE FORMED ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRONT.
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR FROM LATEST OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS SUGGESTS VALUES
   REMAIN AROUND 30-35 KT...WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS / 2500
   J/KG / IN THE WARM SECTOR. THE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO WRN NY/VT AND
   BE WELL MAINTAINED WITHIN MDT WLY FLOW ALOFT. A NEW WW WILL BE
   ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/09/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...
   
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