MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1466
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0109 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SE NY/LONG ISLAND/CT/RI/MA/SRN NH/SRN ME
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 533...
   
   VALID 021809Z - 022015Z
   
   CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW.
   
   INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING IN THE VICINITY OF
   PRE-FRONTAL WIND SHIFT EXTENDING OFF COASTAL SOUTHERN MAINE/NEW
   HAMPSHIRE INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.  ACTIVITY SHOULD INTENSIFY
   FURTHER THROUGH 20Z...AS IT PROGRESSES SLOWLY THROUGH NARROW
   INSTABILITY AXIS WITH MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG.
   MARINE LAYER MAY LIMIT SEVERE THREAT SOUTH OF NORWICH CT INTO AREAS
   SOUTH OF PROVIDENCE RI...BUT RISK FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH
   POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL PERSISTS ACROSS AREAS NEAR/EAST OF
   HARTFORD CT...AND PERHAPS SOUTH OF THE BOSTON MA AREA BY AROUND 20Z.
   
   ..KERR.. 07/02/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...
   
   40627351 41157406 41727369 41857307 41997215 42427151
   42737114 42937076