MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1648
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...SW NEB...SE WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 132027Z - 132300Z
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
NERN CO...SW NEB...AND SE WY. A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE
REGION WITHIN 2 HOURS.
AIRMASS IS BECOMING VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE REGION AS MLCAPE VALUES
EXCEED 2500 J/KG FROM THE SOUTHERN NEB PANHANDLE SOUTHEASTWARD TO SW
NEB. THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE INITIATED ON THE LARAMIE
MOUNTAINS...AND ADDITIONAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THESE
STORMS...WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION. GIVEN THE VERY TO
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES APPROACHING 30
KNOTS...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS ENVIRONMENT ARE
LIKELY TO RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
THE MAIN THREAT.
..LEVIT.. 07/13/2004
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
42360490 41690533 40870488 40180271 40080117 40390035
40820019 41440075 42000199 42260325
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