MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1664
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT WED JUL 14 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...VA...ERN WV PNHDL...NRN MD...DC...NRN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 141618Z - 141815Z
WATCHES WILL BE NEEDED SHORTLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION.
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND INTENSIFYING SHEAR PARAMETERS...
COUPLED WITH STRONG LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH AND COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SEVERE TSTM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF VA/MD/DE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
INITIAL ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME
SUPERCELLULAR AND POSE A THREAT OF HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES.
CONVECTION SHOULD EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS ALONG THE FRONT AND
AHEAD OF 50KT MID LEVEL WIND MAX AND SPREAD EAST WITH AN INCREASING
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.
..CARBIN.. 07/14/2004
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...
36468133 36968122 37827973 38797894 39777849 39777782
38907728 38457718 38027717 37247739 36077964
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