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Mesoscale Discussion 1731
MD 1731 graphic
   
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0101 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CAROLINAS
   
   CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 
   
   VALID 191801Z - 192030Z
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE
   LIMITS THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS.  A
   WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   A FEW TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE FRONT/LEE TROUGH
   SITUATED ACROSS CNTRL SECTIONS OF NC/SC.  AIR MASS VCNTY/EAST OF
   THESE TSTMS HAS BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE WITH LIFTED INDICES NEAR MINUS
   7C.  TSTMS MAY BECOME MORE FOCUSED ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS AS
   UPSTREAM MIDLEVEL TROUGH AXIS TRANSLATES TOWARD THE COAST.  30-40 KT
   H5 WINDS ON SE SIDE OF THIS TROUGH MAY AUGMENT UPDRAFTS...AND A FEW
   OF THE TSTMS MAY BECOME STRONGER AS THEY MOVE TOWARD THE COAST LATER
   THIS AFTERNOON.  THE OVERALL NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE
   WEATHER WILL BE THE SOMEWHAT WEAK MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. 
   HOWEVER...MAGNITUDE OF DRY AIR IN THE MIDLEVELS MAY RESULT IN ISOLD
   WIND GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS WITH THE STRONGER TSTMS.
   
   ..RACY.. 07/19/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...
   
   33558099 35007949 36057808 35747653 34627768 32778067 
   
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