MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1905
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0629 PM CDT FRI AUG 06 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TEXAS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 716...
   
   VALID 062329Z - 070030Z
   
   STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BETWEEN LBB
   AND AMA. STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED ALONG THE NM/TX BORDER...WITH
   ELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN THE TX PANHANDLE RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT
   CONVERGENCE/LIFT FOR STORMS. THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP SSEWD
   ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT LOCATED EAST OF THE FRONT. DESPITE
   WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS...STORMS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG/SEVERE 
   NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS GIVEN MLCAPES NEAR 3000 J/KG AND DIRECTIONAL
   SHEAR. THE DEEP MOIST VERTICAL PROFILES INDICATE THAT SEVERE HAIL
   WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
   
   ..IMY.. 08/06/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
   
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