MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0024
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0548 PM CST TUE JAN 04 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN TX PANHANDLE THROUGH PARTS OF W TX INTO EXTREME
   ERN NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 042348Z - 050145Z
   
   THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER PARTS OF W TX INTO THE
   TX PANHANDLE AND POSSIBLY ERN NM THIS EVENING. ISOLATED MARGINALLY
   SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. THE THREAT DOES NOT
   APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A WW.
   
   EARLY THIS EVENING A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM PARTS OF SERN OK
   SWWD THROUGH W TX TO THE N OF BIG SPRINGS AND MIDLAND. THE LATEST
   OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY IN THE VICINITY OF
   AND N OF THE BOUNDARY WITH MUCAPE FROM 500 TO 1000 J/KG AND MODEST
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   LIFTING NEWD TOWARD W TX AND MAY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING DEEP LAYER
   ASCENT NEAR AND N OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE
   DEVELOPING OVER W TX THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...STORM MOTIONS WILL BE
   SUCH THAT THE ACTIVITY WILL LIFT N OF THE BOUNDARY AND BECOME
   ELEVATED SHORTLY AFTER INITIATION. SUFFICIENT SHEAR EXISTS THROUGH
   THE CLOUD LAYER FOR UPDRAFTS TO ROTATE. THE POTENTIAL FOR UPDRAFT
   ROTATION AND MODEST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
   SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/04/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
   
   32150118 32560288 33710360 34930272 35180142 34200000
   32799952 32230011