MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 140722Z - 140815Z
CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC
THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL FL THIS MORNING.
SHEAR PROFILES IN THE LOW-LEVELS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR TORNADOES
ACROSS NRN/CNTRL FL THIS MORNING WITH SRH VALUES OF 150-200 M2/S2.
LIMITING FACTOR SEEMS TO BE MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND A NEAR SURFACE
STABLE LAYER PER RUC SOUNDINGS. HOWEVER...AS UPSTREAM UPPER SPEED
MAX...NOW OVER THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO...APPROACHES...TSTMS MAY
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OFFSHORE AND THEN MOVE EWD INTO CNTRL FL/NRN FL
LATER THIS MORNING. HIGHEST THREAT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS AND
POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE FROM THE TAMPA BAY
AREA EWD.
A WW MAY BE NEEDED IF STORMS SHOW SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION.
..RACY.. 01/14/2005
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
27248279 28178281 28638194 29198186 29568142 29388092
28698047 27588094 27178158 26758221
|