MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2038
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0729 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NY / NWRN PA
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 735...
   
   VALID 200029Z - 200100Z
   
   SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO DECREASE ACROSS WW. WW MAY BE CANCELLED
   BY 20/01Z.
   
   STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS -- AS REVEALED BY PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL
   CLOUDINESS -- REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF WRN NY/WRN PA AWAY
   FROM THE ERIE LAKESHORE COUNTIES.  WITH MAIN LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
   AXIS NOW MOVING INTO THIS MORE STABLE AIRMASS...SEVERE THREAT
   CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THIS REGION.  STRONGEST STORM -- NOW
   MOVING SWD INTO CLARION/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN PA --  IS NOW S OF
   WW...AND SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY WITH TIME AS SELY
   LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE STORM IS ORIGINATING FROM WITHIN MORE
   STABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER AIRMASS /UPPER 60S TEMPERATURES/ ACROSS
   CENTRAL PA.
   
   BASED ON PRESENT INDICATIONS...WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE TOP
   OF THE HOUR.
   
   ..GOSS.. 08/20/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...
   
   43697805 43477740 41787869 41197933 41638008 42287905
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