MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2041
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1243 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE/SCNTRL KS AND EXTREME NE OK
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 
   
   VALID 201743Z - 201945Z
   
   HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH RATES LOCALLY UP TO 1.5 IN/HR...EXPECTED TO
   PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR SE/SCNTRL KS...AND
   PERHAPS INTO EXTREME NE OK.
   
   SATELLITE/VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA DEPICTS CORRIDOR OF ONGOING HEAVY
   RAINFALL FROM JUST S/SE OF WICHITA NEAR WELLINGTON KS...E/NE TO NEAR
   THE CHANUTE KS VICINITY. LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO
   SHOW PERSISTENCE OF VERY COLD -60 TO -65 C CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS
   OVER FAR SE KS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LAMONT OK/VICI OK
   PROFILERS SUGGEST A PERSISTENCE OF MODEST SWLY WARM
   ADVECTION/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITHIN THE LOWEST FEW KM. THIS REGIME
   WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH MESOSCALE COLD/BUBBLE HIGH ACROSS FAR
   SCNTRL/SE KS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH LIKELY
   REGENERATION OF CONVECTIVE CELLS ACROSS FAR SCNTRL KS AND SUBSEQUENT
   ESE PROPAGATION. HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.75-2.00 INCHES
   WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES
   SHOULD EVENTUALLY DIMINISH INTO MID AFTERNOON AS LATEST RUC GUIDANCE
   SUGGESTS LOW LEVEL SWLY TRAJECTORIES WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN.
   
   ..GUYER.. 08/20/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
   
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