MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2372
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0714 PM CST MON OCT 31 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...TEXAS COASTAL AREA THROUGH SRN LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 840...
   
   VALID 010114Z - 010245Z
   
   PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL PERSIST FROM S TX NEWD ALONG THE TEXAS
   COASTAL WATERS WITH A MORE LIMITED THREAT INTO SRN LA NEXT COUPLE
   HOURS. THREAT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY MID TO LATE EVENING...AND
   ANOTHER WW WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED E OF WW 840.
   
   SQUALL LINE FROM CNTRL LA SWWD ALONG THE TX COAST CONTINUES EWD AT
   AROUND 30 KT. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS ARE MOVING OFF THE TX COAST.
   WITH STRONGEST MID/UPPER FORCING REMAINING IN COOL SECTOR...THE
   RESPONSE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH ONLY A MODEST
   SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN THE PRE-CONVECTIVE WARM
   SECTOR. MOREOVER...WITH ONLY UPPER 50S DEWPOINTS RESIDING OVER THE
   NRN GULF...FURTHER NWD ADVECTION OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE
   LIMITED. THIS SUGGESTS THE LA PORTION OF SQUALL LINE WILL ENCOUNTER
   INCREASINGLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
   EAST.
   
   ..DIAL.. 11/01/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...CRP...
   
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