MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0081
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0607 AM CST MON JAN 23 2006
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY / NRN CT AND RI / SRN VT AND NH / SRN ME
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 
   
   VALID 231207Z - 231800Z
   
   MAXIMUM SNOW RATES OF 1.00-1.50 IN/HR APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH THE
   MORNING HOURS. SNOW MAY CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS MORNING
   OVER FAR SWRN NEW ENGLAND.
   
   SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO EXPAND NEWD ON NOSE OF STRONG
   LOW LEVEL JET / WARM ADVECTION. W-E ORIENTED ZONE OF FRONTOGENETICAL
   FORCING WILL SHIFT NEWD WITH TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
   ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE MD AREA. HEAVY SNOW IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
   PER HOUR APPEARS LIKELY GIVEN HRLY RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 0.10"
   UPSTREAM. IN ADDITION...SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES TEMPERATURES IN
   THE UPPER 20S OVER MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...WITH LIGHT NLY WINDS. GIVEN
   SOME CYCLOGENESIS TO THE SE AND WARMING ALOFT...PROFILES WILL BECOME
   FAVORABLE FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS MORNING...AS INDICATED
   BY RUC AND NAM PTYPE ALGORITHMS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/23/2006
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...
   
   44026970 44057148 43077324 42687471 41717492 41597372
   41977083 42887058