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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1867
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 AM CDT THU AUG 24 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ND
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 739...
VALID 241300Z - 241500Z
VALID PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 739 CONTINUES UNTIL 17Z
ACROSS ND...WITH A CONTINUED STRONG WIND GUST/LARGE HAIL THREAT.
IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN
MT/NORTHERN WY...STRONGLY FORCED AREA OF SEVERE STORMS/FEW ELEVATED
SUPERCELLS CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EAST ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ND THIS
MORNING...BETWEEN DICKINSON/MINOT ND AS OF 13Z. THESE STORMS HAVE A
HAD OF HISTORY OF STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE PREDAWN HOURS...WITH
A MEASURED 54 KT GUST AT SIDNEY MT...AS WELL AS A 41 KT GUST AT
WILLISTON ND JUST BEFORE 12Z. OBSERVED 12Z RAOB FROM BISMARK
SUPPORTS PERSISTENCE OF SEVERE POTENTIAL/ELEVATED SUPERCELLS THROUGH
THE MORNING...WITH PROSPECTS FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DOWNDRAFTS
VIA A VERY UNSTABLE/DRY PLUME ABOVE 850 MB...IN SPITE OF A SHALLOW
TABLE LAYER. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD E/SE
ACROSS ND AND INTO NORTHEAST SD THROUGH MIDDAY...BECOMING MORE
SURFACE BASED IN NATURE WITH TIME AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZES.
..GUYER.. 08/24/2006
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
46670314 47970347 48880242 48819986 48239861 46829842
46319864 46059986 46080116
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