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Mesoscale Discussion 1942
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1942
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0155 PM CDT THU SEP 07 2006
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NE CO...WRN NEB
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 071855Z - 072030Z
   
   A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS
   ACROSS NE CO AND WRN NEB. HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE WITH THE BETTER ORGANIZED STORMS. THE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
   TOO ISOLATED TO WARRANT A WW.
   
   LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NWD FROM WRN KS
   INTO WRN NEB WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MID 50S F. A
   POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG THE MOIST AXIS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE CHEYENNE RIDGE IN FAR WRN NEB
   ON WRN EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY MAXIMUM. INITIALLY SHEAR PROFILES
   APPEAR ADEQUATE FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER...FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS GRADUALLY WEAKEN DEEP LAYER SHEAR VALUES ACROSS THE REGION
   LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITS THE REGION TO THE
   SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT ISOLATED. VERY STEEP
   LAPSE RATES AND RELATIVELY COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPS SUGGEST HAIL AND
   STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 09/07/2006
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
   
   40280181 39390262 39560407 40760414 42430351 42860290
   42840184 42260111 
   
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Page last modified: September 07, 2006
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