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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2318
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0101 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS...SWRN NEB...ERN CO...WRN OK PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 291901Z - 300030Z
MDT TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH A
NARROW ZONE OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF DISCUSSION AREA.
HRLY SNOWFALL RATES OF 1.00-2.00 IN/HR ARE LIKELY.
HEAVY WINTER PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY ONGOING OVER WRN
KS...EXTENDING NOW INTO SWRN NEB. OTHER AREAS OF HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION CONTINUE TO MOVE NWD ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS FREEZING LINE NEARLY STATIONARY FROM LXN TO
JUST W OF DDC AND E OF EHA...WITH FREEZING RAIN OCCURRING IN CLOSE
PROXIMITY. GIVEN SLOW MOVEMENT OF UPPER LOW...OVERALL PRECIPITATION
TYPE IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. STRONG LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING COUPLED WITH
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUANCE
OF HVY SNOW MAINLY FAR WRN KS/ERN CO...WITH A NARROW ZONE OF
FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND JUST W OF SFC FREEZING LINE. FREEZING RAIN
WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO SNOW FROM W TO E...AS BAROCLINIC ZONE
TIGHTENS.
..JEWELL.. 12/29/2006
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...
40839965 39799964 37310118 36760164 36500208 36510273
37140299 38460307 39820298 40520240 41190066
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