MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0015
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1106 AM CST FRI JAN 05 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN GA...NWRN SC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 051706Z - 051700Z
   
   STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE ENEWD AT UP TO
   40KT AND INTO PARTS OF NERN GA/NWRN SC THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
   NEW TORNADO WATCH COVERING PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE
   NEEDED SHORTLY.
   
   DESPITE GENERALLY WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE AROUND 300-400 J PER
   KG/...STRONG FORCING AND POTENT WIND FIELDS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
   A CONTINUING THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES AS A
   STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH EJECTS NEWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
   U.S. THROUGH TONIGHT. LATEST RUC FORECASTS CONFIRM OBSERVATIONAL
   DATA THAT SURFACE AIR MASS ACROSS NWRN SC WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
   SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S F AND
   SURFACE TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 60S. LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS DEPICT
   INCREASINGLY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STORMS SPREAD ENEWD. SMALL SCALE LEWP/BOW
   STRUCTURES ALREADY EVIDENT IN THE LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO POSE A
   THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND OCCASIONAL/BRIEF TORNADOES. A NEW WATCH
   WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 01/05/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...
   
   33988108 33938152 34168424 34588404 34808339 35108214
   34988105