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| Mesoscale Discussion 1842 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1842
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WI/FAR NRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 635...636...
VALID 220713Z - 220815Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
635...636...CONTINUES.
DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS SERN/SRN WI
THROUGH 08-09Z...WITH APEX OF BOW /NOW LOCATED OVER DODGE COUNTY/
MOVING OVER LM BY 08Z.
REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A WELL-ESTABLISHED BOW ECHO TRACKING ENEWD
ACROSS SERN WI AT 45-50 KT. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ALONG THE WRN SHORE
OF LM IS SOMEWHAT COOLER. HOWEVER...STRONG WLY REAR INFLOW JET /50+
KT/ ATTENDANT WITH BOW AS INDICATED BY BLUE RIVER WIND PROFILER
SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO POSE A THREAT INTO THE WI
COUNTIES ALONG THE SHORE OF LM.
FARTHER SW...DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY BE MORE ISOLATED ALONG SRN
EXTENT OF BOW ACROSS FAR SRN WI AND WITH SECOND LINE OF TSTMS NOW
ENTERING FAR NWRN IL. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EWD WITHIN
INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING E-W ACROSS FAR NRN IL INTO SRN LM.
LIMITED SEVERE THREAT AND SMALLER AREAL COVERAGE OF THIS THREAT WILL
LIKELY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A NEW WW TO THE S OF WW 636.
..PETERS.. 08/22/2007
ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...
44018959 44178893 44108757 42578774 42188780 42148908
42099019 42189073 42659081 43229029 43288960
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