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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0376
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST FRI MAR 07 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL AND SRN FL PENINSULA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 106...
VALID 080532Z - 080630Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 106 CONTINUES.
THE THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WW AREA THROUGH 07Z. THIS THREAT MAY
CONTINUE BEYOND THE WW EXPIRATION TIME ACROSS THE SRN PENINSULA AND
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW.
RADAR ANIMATION SUGGESTS THAT A MESOSCALE VORTICITY CENTER IS
RAPIDLY LIFTING NEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL PENINSULA AT
60-65KT...ENHANCING AN ARCING BAND OF TSTMS FROM OSCEOLA COUNTY SWWD
CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES. THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE E-CNTRL AND SRN
PENINSULA REMAINS WARM AND MOIST WITH MLCAPES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG
PER RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS. MOREOVER...CURRENT MELBOURNE VWP
INDICATES THAT THE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT REMAINS STRONGLY SHEARED
WITH 0-1 KM SRH VALUES OF 300-350 M2/S2.
GIVEN THIS COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR...POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES AS ABOVEMENTIONED BAND OF STORMS MOVE NEWD
ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN PENINSULA.
..MEAD.. 03/08/2008
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...
27148215 28428219 28448181 29478167 29578064 28147998
26667948 26087966 26058072 25668081 25538176 25508207
26218259 26948282
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