MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0838
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0537 AM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN/EASTERN VA AND NORTHERN NC/SOUTHERN MD
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 286...
   
   VALID 091037Z - 091130Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 286 CONTINUES.
   
   TORNADO WATCH 286 CONTINUES UNTIL 13Z...WITH A RISK OF ISOLATED
   TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL.
   
   SLOW NORTH-LIFTING EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY
   FOCUS FOR ISOLATED TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS EASTERN VA
   INTO THE EASTERN SHORE/SOUTHERN MD EARLY THIS MORNING. LEADING
   SUPERCELL HAS MAINTAINED SOME ROTATION ACROSS CHESAPEAKE BAY IN
   VICINITY OF TANGIER ISLAND AS OF 1030Z...WITH THIS STORM LIKELY TO
   MOVE INTO SOMERSET COUNTY MD NEAR THE CRISFIELD AREA IN THE SHORT
   TERM. FARTHER SOUTHWEST...TRAILING QUASI-DISCRETE STORMS HAVE
   OCCASIONALLY EXHIBITED ROTATION...WHILE A LEWP HAS RECENTLY BECOME
   DOMINANT ACROSS MIDDLESEX/LANCASTER/MATHEWS COUNTIES. IN SPITE OF
   MODEST SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY...STRONG/VEERING WIND PROFILES
   REMAINING FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND THREAT
   EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY OF EASTERN VA/SOUTHERN
   MD EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/09/2008
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...
   
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