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| Mesoscale Discussion 2511 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2511
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0622 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL/NERN IL...NRN IND...SRN MI...NWRN OH
CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION
VALID 240022Z - 240415Z
CORRECTED FOR SURFACE ID...CHANGED ADH TO AOH
A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING
RATES AOA 0.05 TO 0.10" PER HOUR.
A BROAD PRECIPITATION SHIELD CONTINUES TO LIFT NEWD AS STRONG SWLY
FLOW/ISENTROPIC UP GLIDE CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. GIVEN THE STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION...MODERATE TO STRONG
ASCENT WILL CONTINUE FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES.
THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER FROM FREEZING RAIN
TO RAIN IN THE SOUTH...AND SNOW TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE NORTH.
PRECIPITATION RATES WILL CONTINUE AT OR ABOVE 0.05-0.10" THIS
EVENING...PARTICULARLY WITHIN A ZONE OF ENHANCED ASCENT/SLANTWISE
CONVECTION EVIDENT ON RADAR BETWEEN FROM CMI TO AOH AND PREDICTED TO
SHIFT EWD/NEWD THIS EVENING PER THE 18 UTC SREF AND 22 UTC RUC. DUE
TO THE VERY COLD GROUND TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE RECENT ARCTIC
AIRMASS...FREEZING RAIN MAY LINGER EVEN AS SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES
RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING.
..BRIGHT.. 12/24/2008
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...
LAT...LON 41768759 42218627 42538514 42708419 42698371 42618275
42358239 41818232 41378253 41128276 40978330 40678396
40528457 40308518 40068606 39908674 39768745 39718825
39718891 39878950 40589009 41498839 41768759
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