MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1495
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1001 PM CDT WED JUL 08 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL KS INTO NERN OK
   
   CONCERNING...01Z OUTLOOK UPGRADE 
   
   VALID 090301Z - 090500Z
   
   SEVERE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY
   THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
   THUS...CONSIDER THIS AREA NOW IN A SLIGHT RISK UNTIL THE 06Z OUTLOOK
   IS ISSUED.
   
   SEVERE STORMS HAVE ERUPTED OVER S CNTRL KS WITH LARGE HAIL. AREA
   SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE WITH
   A TIGHT TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE.
   LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO FEED EXISTING STORMS
   OVER KS.
   
   IN ADDITION TO A HAIL THREAT...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY DEVELOP
   WITH TIME. AREA SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY HIGH LEVELS OF DCAPE...IN EXCESS
   OF 1600 J/KG. THUS...WITH PERSISTENT DEVELOPMENT AND NWLY DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR VECTORS OF 60-70 KT...A FEW STORMS MAY ACCELERATE SEWD ACROSS
   SERN KS AND INTO NERN OK WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...IN ADDITION
   TO HAIL. THIS AREA WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE UPSCALE
   GROWTH...AND A WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/09/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...
   
   LAT...LON   35769701 36109736 37399753 37989787 38589820 38699797
               38619759 38099671 37439599 36579558 36089567 35819636
               35769701